Global Climate Change Archive - Models, Studies and Predictions
A collection of older (2004)
news items that focus on models and predictions about the severity,
and consequences of, global climate change. All links take you outside
of the PRISM site. Use your back button to return.
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December 17, 2004 -
Crichton's Climate Fear Contention - BBC
Michael Crichton has written a new book, State of Fear
in which he argues that global warming is nonsense. He notes that his work is fiction, but is based on his research into the
topic where he found the data weren't as strong as he expected them to be.
December 15, 2004 -
Disruption of Wildlife Populations in ... Report on Global Warming - Yahoo!
The first comprehensive assessment of the impact of global
warming's likely consequences on North American wildlife notes that there is "sufficient evidence to indicate that many species are already responding to warming" and that
changes in the range of many animal populations have been noted.
December 1, 2004 -
Melting Arctic Bogs May Hasten Warming... - National Geographic
in western Siberia is home to the world's largest peat bog. If this
peatland thaws and dries out due to the current warming trend, it
would begin to release vast amounts of carbon dioxide, which could
further accelerate global warming.
Nov. 15, 2004 -
Reports Point To Proof Of Global Warming - CNews
The release of two scientific reports in the past few weeks show that global warming is
not just a possibility, but a real phenomenon that is already transforming parts of the earth.
Nov. 18, 2004 -
Humans Face Extinction In 100 Years - Times of India
Antarctic scientist warns that the current behaviors of humans will
cause them to become extinct by the end of the next century due
to the ecological consequences of their actions. (Similar
story from New Zealand News )
Oct. 25, 2004 -
Dire Warnings From Global Warming Report - Guardian Unlimited
entitled "Forecasting the Future" shows that Scotland and the UK
may suffer vast changes to their agriculture and marine ecosystem
by 2050 because of global warming. The risk of illness from diseases
such as Dengue fever also will increase as insect vectors invade.
Oct. 21, 2004 -
Climate Change Threatens World Aid - Belfast Telegraph
development and aid agencies have formally declared that climate
change is the most serious problem confronting the poor of the world.
The agencies said they could no longer ignore their own evidence
that the world's poorest people and countries are already being
negatively affected by global warming, and that the impact could
only be expected to increase. (Similar
Oct. 19, 2004 -
Global Climate Change To Kill Earth With Ice and Deserts - Pravda
Global climate change will have far-reaching impacts as the earth does not "heal its wounds" rapidly.
Changes in the earth may even effect our solar system according to Russian scientists. Warming may, however, be good for Russia.
Sept. 26, 2004 - China's
Melting Glaciers - DAWN
are predicting that China's highest ice fields may be gone in 100
years or sooner if the current melting trend continues. They said
urgent measures must be taken to prevent floods, deal with rising
seas and to sustain agriculture.
Sept. 26, 2004 - Study
Links Melting Glaciers, Medical Threats - Toronto Star
writing in the journal, Medical Hypotheses, contend that
glaciers and ice caps MAY contain pathogens that are unknown and
which may pose significant threat to mankind.
Sept. 23, 2004 - Tundra
Test Stuns Scientists - Toronto Star
have run a simulation and report that it shows that climate warming
might trigger conditions where tundra decomposition will dump carbon
dioxide into the atmosphere faster than it's soaked up by accelerated
plant growth. This was a very unexpected finding.
Sept. 16, 2004 - Global
Warming To Heighten Flooding Risk - Japan Times
using the supercomputer, Earth Simulator, show that rainfall in
Japan can be expected to increase greatly in some parts of Japan
as the earth warms, though other parts might see droughts.
Sept. 14, 2004 - Heat
To Cause More California Deaths - ABC
If the atmosphere
continues to warm at the current rate, the number of heat-related
deaths could more than double by 2050 according to a new report
that looked at potential impact of global warming on California
water supply, agriculture, coastline and ecology. Skeptics feel
the report is based on unreliable global temperature projections.
Sept. 10, 2004 - Climate
Panel's Findings Seared By Peer Review - Scoop
have been very critical of economic assumptions made by the United
Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Some scientists
have also charged that the group has greatly overestimated future
greenhouse emissions and temperature change, possibly for political
Sept. 7, 2004 - Climate
Change Can Slash Animal Gene Pools - NewScientist
A study on
two different rodent species seems to indicate that climate change
can decrease genetic diversity in some animal species affecting
their long-term survival.
2004 - Global
Warming - National Geographic
issue of National Geographic features an article on Global Warming.
This website provides multimedia support for that article, including
a forum,photographs, activities and information about GeoSigns,
EcoSigns, and Time Signs of global Climate Change.
August 31, 2004 - Ice
Clarifies Climate's Secrets - USA Today
possible plant material and mud extracted from the bottom of the
Greenland ice sheet at North GRIP are providing many new interesting
insights into climate through the ages and possible life at the
bottom of the ice sheet.
August 27, 2004 - Millions
of Years of Climate Clues - CBS
are hoping to to retrieve a sediment core from an deep underwater
ridge in the Arctic. This sediment contains a record of the past
50 million years of the Earth's climate.
August 27, 2004 - The
Planet Goes Haywire - Guardian Unlimited
Lots of extreme
weather is being seen around the planet. It may only intensify if
global warming worsens.
August 26, 2004 - U.S.
Study Links Human Activity to Global Warming - Yahoo! News
administration has sent a report to Congress that says that a
government-supported study has shown that warmer global temperatures
since 1950 are in part due to human activities. This is in contrast
to earlier statements that there was no clear scientific proof
about the causes of global warming. (Similar article from
August 25, 2004 - ...NCAR
Study Projects Decrease In Frost Days - Newswise (NCAR)
models from the National Center for Atmospheric Research predict
that much of the world will experience fewer days where the temperature
drops below freezing. The model shows that this effect will be particularly
pronounced in the western parts of North American and in Europe.
August 21, 2004 - Story
Sounds Environmental Alert - Hawaiian Star
professor has written a fictional novel, EarthQuest: Hawaii 2054,
based on the 2001 United Nations report on global warming. His book
has sea level rise seriously affecting housing, the economy and
politics of Hawaii as well
August 19, 2004 - Global
Warming To Banish Cold Winters - ABC
be facing much warmer winters, heat waves could increase in number
and intensity, and climate-related disasters become more common
by the year 2080 according to recent climate studies released by
the European Environmental Agency. (Similar
story from AZCentral,
and another from Bloomberg.)
August 18, 2004 - More
Summer Storms Point To Global Warming - New Zealand Herald
have warned that climate models predict an increased amount of flooding
in Britain over the next twenty years, but are not sure whether
a recent flood in Cornwall is indicative of this, or was just a
an aberrant weather event.
August 17, 2004 - Global
Warming Menaces California - CNN
A study of
the impact of global warming on California warns that the state
will become hotter and drier. Agriculture in this area needs to
be prepared to adapt to such conditions, especially if little action
is taken to reduce emissions.
August 12, 2004 - New
Findings Show Earth Is Not Getting Warmer - ENN
of the National Center for Policy Analysis announced the results
of two studies that support the idea that the earth is not warming.
Both studies support the contention that most of the warming seen
is at the surface, not in the atmosphere
August 6, 2004 - Global
Warming - Yahoo News
general of New York and those of seven other states are suing some
of the nation's largest utility companies demanding that they reduce
emissions that increase global warming.
August 6, 2004 - NCPA
Says NRDC Study Flawed... - Yahoo News
Center for Policy Analysis says that the study that found that smog
will increase if global warming continues to increase is fundamentally
flawed. The NCPA asserts that their data show that smog has been
reduced over the past 25 years and that trend will continue.
August 3, 2004 - Acid
Rain 'Might Curb Warming' - BBC
that produce methane are inhibited by the sulfates in acid rain
according to a recent study. Since more methane is produced by nature
than man, acid rain could help keep atmospheric methane in balance.
August 3, 2004 - How
Strongly Does The Sun Influence The Global Climate? - ScienceDaily
- Mark Planck Society
has been unusually high since the 1940's but a study looking at
the effect of this activity on the earth's climate has come to the
conclusion that the "Sun can be responsible for, at most, only
a small part of the warming over the last 20-30 years".
August 2, 2004 - Early
Humans Adapted Well... - NSF
have studied Australopithecus afarensis, an early human in Africa,
have found evidence that the population was able to survive in hot/dry
conditions and then adapt to dramatic changes in vegetation and
climate a few decades later.
July 28, 2004 - Abrupt
Climate Change: ...Ocean Currents Redistributed Heat During Rapid
Warming and Cooling - ScienceDaily (Georgia Institute of Technology)
published data supports the theory that abrupt temperature changes
seen in the North Atlantic in the paleoclimate record were related
to heat transfer by ocean currents. The data also provide evidence
that the climate of the Southern Hemisphere might have changed on
a different timeline than did that of the Northern Hemisphere.
July 16, 2004 - AURA
Around The Earth - SpaceDaily
satellite has been successfully launched. Its mission is to study
the health of the atmosphere. It will measure ozone and CFC levels
and track regional and global air quality.
July 14, 2004 - Climatologist
Exposes Cracks In Global Warming Foundation - ENN
A new report
from the National Center for Policy Analysis indicates there are
serious problems with the historical climate trends reconstruction
published by the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC).The groups cites the work of five independent research
groups in support of this claim. Copy
of the entire report.
July 14, 2004 - Melting
Ice Could Swamp Cities - Scotsman
Chief Science Advisor, Sir David King has warned that London, New
York and New Orleans are under threat from submersion from melting
ice as greenhouse gases reach levels not seen for 55 million years.
He says that recent data has borne out the worst predictions for
global warming. (Similar
story from Science A GoGo.)
July 9, 2004 - Climate
Change: India Faces Rough Ride - Mail & Guardian
change is likely to result in increased temperatures and massive
flooding in Northern India, and severe droughts in Southern India
according to India's report to the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change. The same is predicted for Southern Africa.
July 8, 2004 - Global
Climate Change: This Risk Investors Can't Ignore - Business
in South Africa are being advised that climate change is not only
about the cost of abatement, the limit to economic growth and impending
natural disaster. As carbon becomes a tradable commodity, companies
can hedge their risks, profit from emissions assets, and turn this
new area into a competitive edge.
July 5, 2004 - Australia
Warned Of Water Crisis - BBC
Climate Group has warned that Australia must drastically curb its
greenhouse gas emissions or face a critical water shortage and more
severe storms in the years to come.
June 14, 2004 - Trapping
Carbon In Soil Key For... Dealing With Climate Change - Science
Daily (Ohio State University)
soil carbon levels should be a top global priority if we want to
insure food for the future and offset global fossil fuel emissions.
Studies have shown that changes in farming practices that help preserve
carbon result in healthier and more abundant crops.
June 14, 2004 - Rising
Seas & Climate Change Threaten 2 Billion - Science A GoGo
than ever before are vulnerable to catastrophic flooding warned
scientists at the United Nations University. Some areas of the world
are more vulnerable than others. Climate change, deforestation,
sea level rise and growing populations are all contributing to the
June 11, 2004 - Chemists
Retrieve Clues to ... Global Greenhouse From Cretaceous Sediments
- Science Daily (University of California)
sulfur isotopes, taken from 130 million year old sediments, has
provided clues that should help scientists make more accurate predictions
of how the climate may change as carbon dioxide and other greenhouse
gases cause the Earth's temperature to rise.
June 9, 2004 - Oldest
Antarctic Ice Core Reveals Climate History - British Antarctic
of the deepest ice core ever drilled in Antarctica indicates that
the earth should not experience another ice age soon.The results
confirm that the earth has experienced 8 ice ages in the past. (Similar
story from BBC.)
June 7, 2004 - Volcanoes
Caused Global Warming - New Zealand Herald
of undersea volcanoes released stupendous amounts of methane into
the atmosphere causing a cataclysmic change in the world's climate
about 55 million years ago according to the findings of Norwegian
story from BBC.)
June 4, 2004 - Continents
Played Key Role in ... Earth's Early Greenhouse - Science Daily
of the earth's collapse of the greenhouse effect and its subsequent
regeneration billions of years ago appears to be embedded in rocks.
Evidence indicates that the development of continents had a significant
impact on climate and atmosphere.
2004 - Climate
Disaster "Upon Us" - Guardian Unlimited
a leading environmental scientist, reports that humans have probably
damaged the environment irretrievably for their descendents. Several
lines of research have led him to conclude that the world does not
understand the seriousness of global warming.
May 31, 2004 - Science
Backs Theories Of Global Warming - Olympian
stations show that the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
is increasing and that global temperatures have been rising in consequence.
The National Academy of Science, the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, the American Meteorological Society and the American
Geophysical Union all agree that climate change poses a serious
threat to the earth and needs to be addressed.
May 31, 2004 - Worms
and Weeds To Flourish Under Global Warming - New Zealand News
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the faster plants grow, but weeds
and nematodes grow even faster. This is one finding of a recent
study of pumping excess carbon dioxide over a paddock of sheep for
six years to see if grass grown with excess carbon dioxide reduced
methane emissions from the sheep.
May 30, 2004 - The
Trouble With Climate Forecasts - New Zealand Herald
in climate makes it hard for the experts to make confident predictions
for the upcoming years. Data that contradicts some of the current
models is discussed in this article.
May 29, 2004 - Global
Warming: A Formidable Challenge to Health - Newswise (British
is growing that climate change will increase malnutrition and outbreaks
of infectious diseases because of the relationship between global
warming and extreme weather events, such as drought, floods, and
May 21, 2004 - Global
Warming Could Mean Less Sunshine - Science A GoGo
report that over the past forty years, there has been a 1.3%, per
decade, decline in the amount of sunshine reaching the earth's surface.
They attribute this to pollution and changes in clouds.
2004 - Earth
Gets Wetter To Fight Global Warming - The Australian
from Australia believe the earth's climate is self-regulating and
cite evidence that the world is getting wetter as it warms, which
will enhance carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere.
2004 - Fossil
Trees Help Understand Climate Change - Newswise (U. of Bristol)
found in Newfoundland may provide a clue to past climate change,
by helping scientists pin down a date for the time upland areas
became forested.The timing of upland ‘greening’ has
major implications for understanding global temps in the past, and
will help refine models of present-day climate change
May 7, 2004 - ...Going
To Glacier? You Should Hurry - New York Times
from the United States Geological Survey predict that none of the
27 glaciers Glacier National Park may be present in 2030, if glacial
melting continues at its present pace.
April 30, 2004 - Contrails
May Be Culprit In Warming Trend - Science A GoGo
from aircraft exhausts may be major contributors to the warming
trend seen between 1975 and 1999 according to data recently published
in the Journal of Climate Research.
April 26, 2004 - Arctic
Ozone Loss More Sensitive... - Science Daily
have quantified a previously unknown link between Arctic ozone loss
and changes in stratospheric temperatures.The sensitivity of ozone
to temperature was significantly higher than had been predicted
by atmospheric chemistry models.
April 21, 2004 - Like
Ozone Hole, Polar Clouds Take Bite Out of Meteoric Iron - Science
have been found to play a significant role in removing meteoric
iron from the mesosphere. It appears the iron is deposited on ice
crystals in the clouds. Polar clouds are also known to play an important
part in the destruction of ozone.
April 19, 2004 - Fertilization
of Phytoplankton Not A Solution for CO2 Removal - Science A
shows that though fertilizing the ocean with iron to increase phytoplankton
bloom does have some impact on moving carbon from surface waters
to the ocean depths, but the quantity removed is probably not enough
to make any difference.
April 15, 2004 - Scientists
Stirred to Ridicule Ice Age Claims - New Scientist
say the movie "The Day After Tomorrow," in which global
warming leads to an ice age, is a very unlikely scenario for the
near future. Some scientists think it could happen eventually, but
are not worried about it occurring in the next 100 years.
April 7, 2004 - Greenland's
Ice Cap Under Threat - BBC
glaciology study predicts an 8°C increase in Greenland's temperature
by 2350. Such a change would melt the Greenland ice cap and cause
average sea level to rise.
Mar. 24, 2004 - Rising
Seas Point to Bigger Global Problem - IOL
show that melting glaciers, eroding snowcaps and ice fields have
contributed more to rising sea levels over the past century than
is usually predicted.
Mar. 9, 2004 - Over
the Top - SMH Australia
of the Arctic ice cap may have a profound effect on global shipping,
by opening the much sought Northeast Passage. If the ice cap continues
to melt, this route could become as busy as the Suez Canal.
8, 2004 - Will
The World Just Chill Out - Space Daily
warming in the Arctic could plunge Western Europe and North America
into a deep freeze in the next few decades.The thawing of sea
ice could disturb the warming currents found in the North Atlantic.
Satellite records of sea ice extent show a clear retreat of the
sea ice over the past 25 years, a trend that appears to be accelerating.
Feb. 9, 2004 -
Scientists Discover Ozone-Destroying Molecule - NASA - JPL
of data from a NASA aircraft flying over the Arctic has allowed
observation of a molecule (chlorine monoxide dimer) that has been
postulated to be important in the destruction of stratospheric ozone.
Measurements of this molecule will help scientists better quantify
ozone loss in this region.
Feb. 9, 2004 -
Climate Change Killed Neandertals - National Geographic
from several different nations have issued a study that uses a variety
of data to look at the demise of the Neandertals. Their conclusion
was that inability to adapt their hunting practices, as they were
forced to new hunting grounds by the changing climate, played a
major role in their disappearance.
Jan. 25, 2004 -
Global Warming Could Plunge Britain Into New Ice Age... - NZ
change in the circulation of the North Atlantic Ocean, tied to global
warming, could cause Britain to experience a much colder climate
if it turns off the Gulf Stream, as it appears to be poised to do.
This change could occur within our lifetime, according to scientists.
Jan. 16, 2004 - ...Origins
of Peat Bogs Raises Concerns - Science Daily
peat bogs which are typically frozen appear to be huge repositories
of carbon dioxide and thus play a major role in world climate balance.
If these bogs thaw due to currently rising temperatures in the Arctic,
there is concern that they may release this gas into the atmosphere
causing major and unexpected shifts in climate. (Similar
story from National Geographic; Another
story from NSF).
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